A heuristic I’ve long held in sports and life is, one of the most valuable skills is correctly identifying who is average. You don’t need to be an expert to know LeBron James is better than Bronny James, but knowing that Mikal Bridges is better than Miles Bridges1-- that understanding of marginal details is where expertise is shown. In poker, knowing which players are elite, average, and bad is valuable, but it’s in individual hand analysis where having a sense for the average is key. It’s usually easy to determine when you’re at or near the top or bottom of your range, but in many spots you need to continue something like 40-60% of the time. Being able to pinpoint the middle means you know which hands make money and which hands lose money, as valuable a skill as there is in the game.
Tournament: 25k GGMillion$ Live. Blinds 4k/8k/8k, 6-handed. 82/134 remaining.
The Hand:
Preflop: Ding Biao (258k) opens LJ to 16k, Kiat Lee (1.7M) calls from the CO, I (288k) call from the BB with K♦️T♣️
Flop (K♠️ Q♠️ J♠️): Check, check, Kiat bets 15k, I call, Ding folds.
Turn (4♥️): Check, Kiat bets 65k, I call.
River (3♦️): Check, Kiat bets 375k (putting me all-in), I fold.
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