Week In Review #46 February 15th-21st
As we approach the one year anniversary of POTD some changes are being made
When I first started Punt of the Day, it was a simple WhatsApp chat with myself. I would play poker all day long, review the hands I played, and crown a certain hand I played the Punt of the Day. So when I started this Substack, I figured I would honour the gimmick of the group chat I had with myself and call it the Punt of the Day, which, as loyal readers know, meant I would post a hand every day. POTD #1 was posted on March 24th, and on that day, I had people sign up for annual and premium subscriptions; and since that day I have— some Sundays excluded— had a post up every day.
When I started this Substack, my son was almost 11 months old, and I was looking for a way to keep my poker brain sharp while having a much more flexible schedule and home life than playing online MTTs or traveling to play live MTTs. In May of this year, my wife is expecting our second child, and once he is born, I will be unable to write six (now seven counting the Sunday Special) posts a week. I knew I’d be unable to post seven times a week for a couple of months now, but I wanted to honour the commitment I made to the first batch of annual subscribers that they would get to read about a hand a day. So for the following four weeks, there will be seven newsletters sent out every week. After Sunday, March 22nd, I will still be writing seven posts a week (contingent on me getting enough submissions for the Sunday Special. If you’re interested in submitting, your post will probably get selected at some point. You can contact me in any of the ways listed here); however, I will be saving two a week so that I can build up an inventory and continue to post after the birth of child #2. I may even line up some special guest posts, depending on how people I cold call feel about doing unpaid labour. The plan is to post three Punts, one on Monday, Wednesday and Friday; a Week in Review on Saturday; and a Sunday Special on … you guessed it, Thursday Sunday.
What does this mean for you, the POTD subscriber? If you’re a day-one subscriber whose subscription is coming up for a renewal and the extra two posts a week was the crux for your subscription, you will have over a month to cancel it. I know the feeling of having a lapsed subscription auto-renew, and I hate it and would not want to inflict it on anyone who has ever given money. On the flip side, if you are one of the many people who over the past year has unsubscribed for a reason like “Content is good but I am lacking time to read it daily” and wants some Sam Greenwood in their inbox, but not every day, I suggest you resubscribe. If you are a Premium Subscriber, I will still be posting videos to the private YouTube channel, sims to the private Google Drive folder, and #onemorethings to the Discord channel, but of course it will be three times a week, instead of five. Private coaching students will still have access to all of that material.
The following is subject to change, but as of right now the plan is to keep roughly the same proportion of posts 100% free. Which means the Week In Review and Sunday Special posts will remain free, and once every two weeks, there will be a post that will be completely unlocked. The introductions and hand histories will remain before the paywall. When I end up writing about popular, viral hands that occur during the WSOP or other big live tournament series, I will try to get them up as quickly as possible, which means there may be bonus posts that I’ll post on Tuesdays or Thursdays or Sundays; I haven’t decided if these will be paywalled. I expect Punt of the WSOP Main Event to remain, but I may not be searching as thoroughly as I did in 2025 and may need more help from POTD readers.
I plan on returning to posting seven posts a week at some point, but the maxim “Man plans. God laughs” feels especially apt for a couple with a toddler and a newborn. If you want to see POTD #1000, whether it is posted in 2028 or 2030, the way to make it happen is to become a paid subscriber and tell people within your poker circle to do so as well. The more paid subscribers there are, the more posts there will be. I’ve loved doing POTD, but it takes up a lot of my time, and I am entering a period of my life where my free time will be limited. I’ll conclude the way I always do in these posts: by leaving a subscribe button, which you can click below.
Additional Sims For Premium Subscribers
Premium subscribers get the raw files of sims I used to write my POTDs, sims that are more accurate and appropriate than equivalent sims in the big public libraries, videos of me walking through the sims, and a text summary of how I ran the sims. This week I uploaded:
A RocketSolver Sim for POTD #231
A PIO sim for POTD #232
A RocketSolver Flop/Turn sim and a PIO river for POTD #233
Three PIO sims that look at different c-bet sizes for POTD #234
A PIO ICM sim using custom HRC ICM sims for POTD #235
Additional Analysis for Premium Subscribers
Everyday Premium Subscribers get an extra bit of analysis not included on Substack. Today, I’ll share #onemorething from POTD #231 where I write about boards that feel like they hit your opponent’s range, but don’t actually.
POTD #231 onemorething
I think one thing that’s interesting about c-bet strategies on this flop is looking at the difference between hands that feel like they hit the SB’s range vs flops that actually hit the SB’s range. Looking at heads up pots, in GTOW this flop (QJ9 rainbow) is basically a pure c-bet even 80bbs deep LJ vs. BB. At 100 we start seeing a significant amount of checks, but it’s still betting 85% of the time. At 40 we start seeing a lot of checking if we raise the HJ instead of the LJ. The key factor when 40bbs deep is if the SB flats KTo, which is a nice heuristic you can exploitatively apply in game. If you think your opponent flats KTo you probably want to play some checks on this flop.
This also means that JT9, QT9 and KT9 all play heavy check LJ vs SB, but KJ9 or J98 do not. All in all it makes sense that this “feels” like a board that should get a lot of checking, if you changed one card rank it would. When you are locked in and playing your best, you can think things like “I pure c-bet because they don’t have offsuit straights” and even the next level adjustment of “actually, I think this SB is loose and would have KTo, so maybe I should check AJ here.” When playing a hand you’re often juggling dozens of competing thoughts in your head, but if your non BB opponent flats offsuit combos that flop straights on a texture, it usually means you shutdown whether they’re in the SB or have position on you.
Housekeeping
If you’d like to sign up for Octopi, Run It Once, or GTO Lab, you can get a discount using the following codes.
Run it Once use code: POTD for 10% off
Octopi Poker use code: PUNT for 50% off 1st month for monthly subs and 2 free months for annual subs
GTOLab use code: POTD for $25 off any product. It can be used multiple times
Media
I finally watched Marty Supreme this week, and it lived up to the hype. With the caveat that I have not seen nearly enough 2025 movies yet, it is at the moment my favourite movie of the year. While this movie has the same manic, stressful energy as Good Time and Uncut Gems, there is a key difference in my mind, which is that, unlike Howard Ratner or Connie Nikas, Marty Mauser has a talent beyond being a sociopath who will stop at nothing to get what he wants (he is that as well, but nevertheless). I’ve seen the prior Safdie movies compared to Martin Scorsese’s After Hours, and Marty Supreme is another one-crazy-night movie, but since Marty is legitimately great at table tennis, it’s also a movie about ambition and greatness and what it’s like to be great at something that most people view as a silly game played in people’s basements. As a great poker player who loves the game and beating the best, this is something I can very much relate to.
Have a nice weekend, and as always I can be reached on
Congrats Sam. All the best to you and your family
Congrats, Sam. Great life choices!