Week in Review #3 April 6th to April 12th

I guess I should have used this header image last week

I’m going to lead this post off with everyone’s favourite thing, housekeeping. There is a new benefit for unpaid subscribers. Thanks to the advice of subscriber Mike Goodman I’ve moved the paywall on free posts further down the page. Unpaid subscribers can now read my introductory paragraph and the hand histories, but will not be able to read my analysis. Unpaid subscribers will still receive one unlocked post a week plus a Week in Review post like this one. I also know from looking at the email addresses of subscribers that some unpaid subscribers will pay thousands of dollars in rake to online poker sites tomorrow. To everyone, but especially those people, please upgrade to a paid subscription. The different subscription tiers are posted below.

Unpaid - You get one free POTD per week, previews of all the posts and the Week in Review post.

Monthly/Yearly Subscribers - Get hand history analysis on all five punts a week when I’m not playing poker and up to seven punts a week when I am playing poker, the Week in Review post and the ability to comment on this Substack

Premium Subscribers - Will get access to the Punt of the Day Discord server, a Google Drive folder where I post sims I discussed in the newsletter, additional bonus sims, extra strategy analysis, AND you have a chance to submit your own hands to be analyzed by me in the blog.

Private Coaching - Anyone who pays for an hour of private coaching from me will be gifted a premium subscription for one year. At the bottom of this post I will link all the ways you can reach me.

This Week’s Sims for Premium Subscribers

• A PIO sim using alternative preflop ranges because there were so many short stacks at the table

• A BvB sim using the small preflop size the SB used

• A PIO test to determine what size stack to pot needed to be before all-in wasn’t the only turn size used from me

• A PIO sim with alternative preflop ranges attempting to guess what bounty ranges would look like

• A PIO ICM sim

Additional Analysis for Premium Subscribers

Usually my analysis is an extra tidbit about the hand’s discussed on Substack, but this week I analyzed three peripheral hands that were discussed in the newsletter. For example, I discussed why my opponent’s play in POTD #12 led me to angrily text my brother.

“POTD #12 In the Substack I quoted a text I sent where I complained about how my opponent played a hand earlier in the day blind versus blind.

Hand 1

‘bvb deep lx i x k6o

K54fd b66/c Jo xx river 9 b125

He has qto

River bet might actually be losing like 1bb’

This hand is fine from me, I could bet the turn, but I felt after a big bet went in on the flop that I should pot control my weak Kx. There's probably an opposite effect here where vs someone likely betting the flop too often and too large I should have recognized my hand has more equity than it's supposed to have and my opponent probably has too much middle of range stuff and I should bet now, but checking is fine. The reason why I thought his river bet was so costly was he has the nuts and we have ~12x pot to play. When he bets that size he makes it significantly less likely that I raise the river, which makes it very hard for him to stack me. If checking or blocking allows him to stack me 1% of the time that's almost 1bb in EV he's giving up right there. I was correct that overbet is not a solver-approved play with QT and QT prefers check or block to try to get more money in the pot, but betting 125% pot with the nuts can never be that costly a play and I was salty and it doesn't lose close to 1bb.”

Media
I did commentary on this week’s GG Million$ final table. Ignore the picture of Luc in the splash image. It was a very fun final table with Ole Schemion, Joao Viera, Artur Martirosian and Michael Addamo all playing for 1.7 million. During the stream I got a lot of new subscribers to the Substack. Thank you for subscribing and watching the stream and if you haven’t watched the stream, I recommend you do, it’s a very fun final table.