"The problem with this thought process is his bluffs have a lot more equity vs your hand than his value does. 53o has 10 outs than and you have 4 outs vs a hand like A4. So even if he’s bluffing 1/4 of the time, I doubt your have 23% equity."
--I hadn’t thought about turn bluff catching this way before. Since the hand isn’t over yet, it’s not enough to just think villain’s bluffing frequency. their bluffs can still have a lot of equity against our bluff-catchers, while our bluff-catchers can also have equity against their value hands. We need to consider the equity difference here too! Great learning — thanks, Sam!
I think this is another example where you can implement solver knowledge to exploit opponents. If you know your opponent mostly bluffs from equity and you know you have a neutralish continue. Pivoting to pure fold is pretty easy as is pure raising your good hands.
"The problem with this thought process is his bluffs have a lot more equity vs your hand than his value does. 53o has 10 outs than and you have 4 outs vs a hand like A4. So even if he’s bluffing 1/4 of the time, I doubt your have 23% equity."
--I hadn’t thought about turn bluff catching this way before. Since the hand isn’t over yet, it’s not enough to just think villain’s bluffing frequency. their bluffs can still have a lot of equity against our bluff-catchers, while our bluff-catchers can also have equity against their value hands. We need to consider the equity difference here too! Great learning — thanks, Sam!
I think this is another example where you can implement solver knowledge to exploit opponents. If you know your opponent mostly bluffs from equity and you know you have a neutralish continue. Pivoting to pure fold is pretty easy as is pure raising your good hands.