Do you think Shaevel should have ever shoved Kh Kx on the river instead of calling? I think I would have ripped River over calling. That being said I think fold is justifiable I just think shove might be better. Think it’s a very tough call for even flushes there on the river, who bluffs there?
No. I think Lauri's river bet is large enough that he's polarized. I don't think he would have AJ to this action. I also don't think he'd fold a flush vs a raise. Just call and hope he's bluffing.
I didn't run it and I forget how many handed the table was, but it's a call that's making very little for chips and should be a fold deep in the main imo
Gotcha. Yeah, the model I'm looking at has the EV of calling and folding basically the same, so I would agree that you should often pass on the spot all things being equal. But I would respectfully disagree with the adjustment of folding more deep in the Main. Gags is a much better player than the average opponent at that point, and I want him playing pots deep-stacked against people who will make a ton of postflop errors.
Can't agree that calling $60 in a pot worth $15,000 or so is ever going to be mistake unless you have something resembling nut-low.
People can re-bluff here or call sensing you're bluffing. Only a certified idiot would fold ATo for last $60 worth of chips here. I've seen hands where people show up with bluffs against the one chip back. Will someone worse than once in 240 times. Absolutely.
I can't believe someone as good at poker as you has a take this ridiculous. It's not a punt to call. It would be absolutely terrible to fold here.
I guess it is a 3bp BU vs SB and KT is possible, but probably nothing else. I will pivot and say if you think your opponent would shove KT or K9 as a bluff here. You probably should not be bluffing them in the WSOPME
Sure, but the opponent could have things that aren't supposed to be in the range or play hands in a bizzare way and that's extremely relevant when you're getting more than 200-1 pot odds.
See you in the Bahamas 😂
Looking forward to reading this every morning of the Main, hopefully. Just FYI, the YouTube links are geo-blocked for those of us in the US.
I have been told that the Winamax French Language stream is not geo-blocked and I will update the links ASAP (likely Monday)
Do you think Shaevel should have ever shoved Kh Kx on the river instead of calling? I think I would have ripped River over calling. That being said I think fold is justifiable I just think shove might be better. Think it’s a very tough call for even flushes there on the river, who bluffs there?
No. I think Lauri's river bet is large enough that he's polarized. I don't think he would have AJ to this action. I also don't think he'd fold a flush vs a raise. Just call and hope he's bluffing.
Thanks so much for compiling all this!
On 87o, that looks like a pretty comfortable defend for Gags in the models I've seen. Do you have some output that says different??
I didn't run it and I forget how many handed the table was, but it's a call that's making very little for chips and should be a fold deep in the main imo
Gotcha. Yeah, the model I'm looking at has the EV of calling and folding basically the same, so I would agree that you should often pass on the spot all things being equal. But I would respectfully disagree with the adjustment of folding more deep in the Main. Gags is a much better player than the average opponent at that point, and I want him playing pots deep-stacked against people who will make a ton of postflop errors.
Can't agree that calling $60 in a pot worth $15,000 or so is ever going to be mistake unless you have something resembling nut-low.
People can re-bluff here or call sensing you're bluffing. Only a certified idiot would fold ATo for last $60 worth of chips here. I've seen hands where people show up with bluffs against the one chip back. Will someone worse than once in 240 times. Absolutely.
I can't believe someone as good at poker as you has a take this ridiculous. It's not a punt to call. It would be absolutely terrible to fold here.
I guess it is a 3bp BU vs SB and KT is possible, but probably nothing else. I will pivot and say if you think your opponent would shove KT or K9 as a bluff here. You probably should not be bluffing them in the WSOPME
Sure, but the opponent could have things that aren't supposed to be in the range or play hands in a bizzare way and that's extremely relevant when you're getting more than 200-1 pot odds.