To honour my return to Triton Jeju, I am running a sale. If you’d like to become a paid subscriber, you can do so for one month at the cheapest rate I’ve ever offered, $1, here. If you’d like to read about how the POTD schedule will be changing when I’m in Korea, you can do so here. If you’d like to become a Premium Subscriber and see what you get for $300/year, to see all the Premium Content I post every day, you can do that as well. On to my Punt of the Day.
The Mystery Bounty day is always a fun day on the Triton calendar. You enter the tournament with visions of pulling six-figure bounties, knowing the most realistic outcome is not just that you won’t win a bounty, but that you probably won’t even have a bounty on your head. In order to get to the bounty portion of the tournament. you need to make it the final 25% of the tournament. When playing day one, it’s easy to think ahead to what your open limping range will look like once bounties come into play, or if a hypothetical shove can be called with any two cards, but for now you need to get to day two. For those following along with my progress this trip, I did not make day two. An 0-11 streak is normal. It should happen around 18% of the time, which is still more often than the ITM percentage of the people most likely to cash a given Triton. I’ll repeat, tournament poker is a game where going 0/11 is easier than going 1/1, and right now I’m on the bad end of the stick. I still have plenty of time to turn it around and hopefully will, but this is not how I wanted to start my trip.
I do think I have gotten “unlucky,” but that’s no reason to not analyze your own play, which is what I do here on POTD. I opened the mystery bounty by making a pretty wild and potentially foolish bluff when deep-stacked. I am pretty sure it was bad, but I still want to do some more pondering about that one and will probably write about it after I return from Jeju. Instead, I’ll write about the fact that I’ve felt, overall, I’ve been a little too call-happy on the river this trip. It feels like I’ve regularly been getting neutral-EV bluff catchers. regularly calling, and regularly seeing value bets. Is this because I’ve been running bad, or because I’ve been unable to pull the trigger on some big folds, or is this just the reality when many of your neutral-EV calls are still losing over 65% of the time when facing big river bets? Today I’ll write about another hand where I could have folded top pair on the river and didn’t.
Since I played this hand yesterday vs. a real opponent, I will not be sharing my hole cards before the paywall. If you’d like see my hole cards, you can pay me $1 at the link in the introduction.
Jovan Kenjic (191k/64bbs) makes it 6k UTG7, it folds to me in the BB with (200k/67bbs) and I call.
Flop (16.5k) Q♥️3♣️3♠️: I check, he bet 4k, I call.
Turn (24.5k) 9♠️: I check he bets 24k, I call
River (72.5k) 2♠️: I check he bets 52k, I call and lose to A♥️A♣️
