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POTD #26 Monte Carlo Monday: I Turn the Supernuts: Gamble or No Future?

POTD #26 Monte Carlo Monday: I Turn the Supernuts: Gamble or No Future?

Let's see if I can play a draw well this time

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Sam Greenwood
Apr 28, 2025
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Punt of the Day
Punt of the Day
POTD #26 Monte Carlo Monday: I Turn the Supernuts: Gamble or No Future?
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I’ve been arguing about poker online since I was a teenager, and one debate will never go away– a debate that began before the coinage of “GTO”: Who is better? The best “math” player or the best “feel” player? The debate is tiresome, because the answer is clearly a player who does both. Jason Koon correctly tweeted about the best players being hybrids, and I don’t care to engage in a hypothetical where a player can only be one. Every player is both. The purest exploitive player knows 72o is an underdog all-in versus AA-- believe it or not, that’s math. The purest solver player is .. an actual solver, but the next closest thing are RTA cheaters, and I’m sure they frequently manually overrode solver suggestions.

Today’s hand is a hybrid hand in that I combined bad “feel” play with bad “math” play. I felt it was time to try something tricky, I got the response I wanted, and then I failed to capitalize on it because I thought it was the wrong math play. Then on the river, I had buyer’s remorse about my stupid turn play and tried another “hybrid” play this time: a hybrid of bad theory play with mediocre exploitive play. Enough preamble. Time for you to read today’s newsletter, which is a hybrid of poker strategy and psychodrama.

2024 Triton Monte Carlo Event #12 $150k NLHE
Level 11: 10k/15k/15k (SB/BB/BBA)
41 Left. 20 cash. Staring Stack 200k, Average 590k.

HH: Triton App

It folds to Ren Lin in the cutoff with 1.4M, he raises to 35k, I have 935k in the BB and call Q♥️J♥️ in the BB

Flop: (95k) T♠️8♣️7♥️ I check, Ren checks

Turn: 9♥️ I bet 45k, Ren makes it 135k, I call

River: T♥️ I bet 370k, Ren calls with K♥️5♥️

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