Textbook japanese discipline to not windmill the bluff. Honestly in this spot I think the dagger you deliver to the opponent nets you considerable ev.
I feel like the lazy betting pattern of small flop, medium turn, larger river is a bit of a trap I fall into the Jesse has experienced here. I’m not sure what bias it is that makes us do it but it’s super common
When I ran a PIO sim for this hand I picked a random rainbow board and didn't look up the suits and wrote the whole post referencing the PIO sim instead of the hand. I thought I correctly turned every "heart" into club, but I failed. Changing it now.
The perils of writing a blog in one day. He made three decisions that I think were suboptimal, but collectively lost very little EV and then one decision that lost boatloads of EV. I'll give it a C-
Great analysis Sam
Thank you Pedro. I hope you have a relaxing holiday.
Textbook japanese discipline to not windmill the bluff. Honestly in this spot I think the dagger you deliver to the opponent nets you considerable ev.
I feel like the lazy betting pattern of small flop, medium turn, larger river is a bit of a trap I fall into the Jesse has experienced here. I’m not sure what bias it is that makes us do it but it’s super common
Great post! "So Ryuta should short-cut to bluffing his pair+gutshots when he has a heart" I assume you meant a club here? If not, please explain.
When I ran a PIO sim for this hand I picked a random rainbow board and didn't look up the suits and wrote the whole post referencing the PIO sim instead of the hand. I thought I correctly turned every "heart" into club, but I failed. Changing it now.
Where is the hand grade?
The perils of writing a blog in one day. He made three decisions that I think were suboptimal, but collectively lost very little EV and then one decision that lost boatloads of EV. I'll give it a C-