3 Comments
User's avatar
Lion King's avatar

Wondering what I should make out of the AQ folding turn thematic.

When I looked it up, AQ only folds when you nodelock OOP to no turn leads (rightfully so, noone leads this) because IP then plays very careful and it's only "real bluffs" are KQ low frequceny (I gave IP 50% 99-TT, AJo,J9s, Q9s,

full frequency JJ+, AK, AQs, KQo, KTs, QTs, K9s, A9s, A8s, A5s) mixed w 9x bluffs.

And also IP never bets AQs in that node.

In reality I expect more AJ, AQs, AK db's from IP (scared of all draws and easy river desicion) and more KQ db's.

So as OOP I would call turn w AQ (unless read is that IP is passive) but maybe as IP we should barrel AK harder as an exploit and bluff less. What do you think?

Thank you, as always, in advance!

Sam Greenwood's avatar

Did you look this up in a GTOW sim? Which one? I think many humans bet AQ on the turn here, which means I would never fold AQ. My main point in this post was that folding AQ ott isn't even that unreasonable play to a smaller bet size, so folding it to a shove, seems like a very reasonable play. However, I also think humans rarely fold any bare top pair ott here, but would fold vs a shove.

Lion King's avatar

Agreed, as you also stated in another post, people like to fastplay here to get to showdown, so I wouldn't even be surprised to see a AJ here from time to time.

To answer your question: I don't work w GTOW but I do put some PioViewer sims together :).

Especially in this case I found it helpful to get a feel for what we were talking about, because reading that AQ folds sometimes on turn in theory baffled me.